0xd262D22FC0F1f49942eAf8C559832Ffc30312199-1764855054794
0xd262d22fc0f1f49942eaf8c559832ffc30312199
- Realised P&L
- $33.08
- Volume
- $321.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,363
- Open portfolio
- $0.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,363
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.75at 0.001Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
- +$3.21at 0.002Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
- +$3.12at 0.006Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of May 11 2026?
- +$3.11at 0.003Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?
- +$3.02at 0.006Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on April 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 01:47 | Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 06-14 08:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.33 |
| 06-14 07:57 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.11 |
| 04-02 18:22 | Military action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.35 |
| 03-30 02:18 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 03-29 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 1? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 03-26 16:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 03-24 10:24 | Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.36 |
| 03-23 19:48 | Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.75 |
| 03-23 08:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.96 |
| 03-23 04:17 | Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.87 |
| 03-23 02:29 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 03-22 03:22 | Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 03-21 14:51 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 03-18 02:16 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.12 |