PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

garsv

0xd2617031c8b5623ade5b28079d83982abf6bb663

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$4.65M
Markets traded
307
Open portfolio
$149.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded307
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:39Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?SELL0.07$1.41
11-01 06:59Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?SELL0.1328571429$18.60
11-01 06:58France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$11.20
10-31 16:06Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.573$11.46
10-30 15:51Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.3333333333$50.00
10-30 15:46Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?SELL0.12$12.05
10-30 15:44Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?SELL0.18$18.07
10-30 15:44Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?SELL0.2$6.34
10-30 15:33Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.34$3.40
10-30 15:30Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.62$18.60
10-30 15:29Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.55$11.00
10-30 15:22Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?SELL0.002$1.57
10-30 14:48Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?SELL0.0134675615$10.60
10-30 14:29Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.37$11.10
10-30 14:28Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?SELL0.13$68.21