crescidentialsuite
0xd25dded89a80d827688c8499211f2924e9854540
- Realised P&L
- $-97.95
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 343
- Open portfolio
- $73.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded343
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.40at 0.150Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$7.30at 0.604Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?
- +$7.07at 0.410Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 4?
- +$6.31at 0.462Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
- +$5.25at 0.536Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:02 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 21:01 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 20:55 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 20:55 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 20:55 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 20:54 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 20:53 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $10.44 |
| 08-04 18:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 08-04 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.35 |
| 08-04 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.96 | $10.77 |
| 08-04 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.77 | $3.44 |
| 08-04 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.53 | $3.48 |
| 08-04 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.75 |
| 08-04 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.19 |
| 08-04 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.84 |