crescidentialsuite
0xd25dded89a80d827688c8499211f2924e9854540
- Realised P&L
- $-158.15
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 591
- Open portfolio
- $47.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded591
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.28at 0.156Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$8.23at 0.184Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$7.04at 0.616Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?
- +$6.93at 0.422Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 4?
- +$5.93at 0.472Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 05:51 | Will "Dune: Part Three" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 05:50 | Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9779999883 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 05:50 | Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 05:49 | Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.7699999912 | $1.75 |
| 10-09 05:49 | Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 62 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 05:48 | Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.53 |
| 10-08 16:00 | Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.06 |
| 10-07 16:34 | Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.50 |
| 10-07 16:27 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9089999264 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:38 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 18:34 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.7899996577 | $1.50 |
| 10-06 18:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.9199999338 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 18:27 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8999998371 | $2.21 |
| 10-06 18:25 | Will the UK Budget include a wealth tax? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:23 | Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.50 |