PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xD25cE3Bc474f2bebcc8515041b5a6D2E6CcD8832-1776746463230

0xd25ce3bc474f2bebcc8515041b5a6d2e6ccd8832

Realised P&L
$118.62
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$291.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4100.530$168.21+$38.21
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? · Yes0.8280.845$102.11+$2.11
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2980.085$14.26$35.74
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6400.755$7.08+$1.08
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00$7.94
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026? · No0.0800.000$0.00$4.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 06:03Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?BUY0.8275596605$100.00
07-26 03:10Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.64$6.00
07-26 03:09Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4099999991$130.00
07-26 03:08Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.2562817083$141.20
07-26 03:04Will GTA 6 cost $100+?SELL0.022$3.67
07-20 14:16Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$101.56
07-20 14:13Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3629999991$200.00
04-21 05:12Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?BUY0.08$4.08
04-21 05:11Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.26$7.49
04-21 05:09Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.1799999958$30.00
04-21 05:05Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?BUY0.08$50.00
04-21 05:05Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?BUY0.2979577363$50.00
04-21 05:00Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1609999974$50.00