0xD25cE3Bc474f2bebcc8515041b5a6D2E6CcD8832-1776746463230
0xd25ce3bc474f2bebcc8515041b5a6d2e6ccd8832
- Realised P&L
- $118.62
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $291.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.530 | $168.21 | +$38.21 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? · Yes | 0.828 | 0.845 | $102.11 | +$2.11 |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.298 | 0.085 | $14.26 | −$35.74 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.755 | $7.08 | +$1.08 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.94 |
| Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.56at 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.00at 0.500Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$-26.33at 0.180Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
- +$-58.80at 0.363Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:03 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.8275596605 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 03:10 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.00 |
| 07-26 03:09 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4099999991 | $130.00 |
| 07-26 03:08 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.2562817083 | $141.20 |
| 07-26 03:04 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | SELL | 0.022 | $3.67 |
| 07-20 14:16 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $101.56 |
| 07-20 14:13 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3629999991 | $200.00 |
| 04-21 05:12 | Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.08 |
| 04-21 05:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.26 | $7.49 |
| 04-21 05:09 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.1799999958 | $30.00 |
| 04-21 05:05 | Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 04-21 05:05 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.2979577363 | $50.00 |
| 04-21 05:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999974 | $50.00 |