iamloser2
0xd25c3e99531570b5e0495fdde169f5a9c5e07903
- Realised P&L
- $4.46
- Volume
- $135.38
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $6.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.310 | $6.13 | +$1.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.30at 0.319Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?
- +$0.55at 0.651Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.22 | $0.88 |
| 10-07 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:58 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:58 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:55 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 19:52 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.00 |