PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

iamloser2

0xd25c3e99531570b5e0495fdde169f5a9c5e07903

Realised P&L
$4.46
Volume
$135.38
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$6.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9? · Yes0.2470.310$6.13+$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 8? · Yes0.1030.001$0.01−$2.99
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7? · Yes0.1310.000$0.00−$9.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 12:03Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9?BUY0.31$1.00
10-08 04:01Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9?BUY0.31$1.00
10-08 00:00Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9?BUY0.22$0.88
10-07 20:00Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9?BUY0.21$1.00
10-07 15:59Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 8?BUY0.07$1.00
10-07 11:58Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9?BUY0.22$1.00
10-07 11:58Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 8?BUY0.09$1.00
10-06 19:56Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7?BUY0.1$1.00
10-06 15:55Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7?BUY0.08$1.00
10-06 11:54Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7?BUY0.14$1.00
10-06 07:54Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 8?BUY0.27$1.00
10-06 07:54Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7?BUY0.13$1.00
10-06 03:53Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7?BUY0.13$1.00
10-05 23:53Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7?BUY0.13$1.00
10-05 19:52Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 7?BUY0.19$1.00