0xd253f083e57bfe95b2c7b6004bd1cb87dcd1a65e
0xd253f083e57bfe95b2c7b6004bd1cb87dcd1a65e
- Realised P&L
- $1.45
- Volume
- $203.59
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $1.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.915 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on November 2? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.080 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.33at 0.300Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 14?
- +$1.91at 0.349Trump renames AI by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:05 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on November 2? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 04:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 08:28 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 00:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 15:49 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 07:49 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 23:48 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 00:09 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 01:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 03:11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:23 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 18:51 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 10:51 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 00:01 | Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 16:00 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |