PolyBot

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Traders

neo7777

0xd25156e222c9b907b128e27c36821fdb41db4d37

Realised P&L
$52.2k
Volume
$4.14M
Markets traded
6,917
Open portfolio
$12.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded6,917
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 20? · Yes0.4250.440$880.00+$29.96
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? · No0.7040.775$728.17+$67.08
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.6491.000$595.35+$208.60
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? · Yes0.4580.465$576.40+$9.10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? · No0.6370.805$520.03+$108.35
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? · Yes0.3220.390$502.06+$87.45
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 19? · No0.5570.585$482.50+$23.02
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 18? · No0.8181.000$458.28+$83.13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.5660.735$447.14+$102.73
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 18? · No0.8100.815$395.27+$2.52
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18? · Yes0.4580.530$374.00+$50.77
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19? · No0.5990.585$300.21$6.99
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 18? · No0.7701.000$299.85+$68.85
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18? · No0.7900.945$249.48+$40.92
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? · No0.5400.975$244.72+$109.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:34Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19?BUY0.7680164882$249.67
09-18 11:27Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.74$185.00
09-18 11:27Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.1$3.39
09-18 11:26Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.9$225.00
09-18 11:26Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?BUY0.54$82.03
09-18 11:25Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20?BUY0.775335$232.60
09-18 11:24Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19?BUY0.5156895$103.14
09-18 11:23Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.2147594861$71.88
09-18 11:21Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 20?BUY0.6969135802$112.90
09-18 11:13Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 18?BUY0.8097938144$392.75
09-18 11:09Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 19?BUY0.23$23.00
09-18 11:09Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 19?BUY0.22$15.40
09-18 11:09Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19?BUY0.6945454545$187.18
09-18 11:06Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19?BUY0.39$117.00
09-18 10:59Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 18?BUY0.02$1.16