PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

neo7777

0xd25156e222c9b907b128e27c36821fdb41db4d37

Realised P&L
$44.8k
Volume
$2.62M
Markets traded
4,324
Open portfolio
$12.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,324
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3? · No0.5581.000$1.8k+$780.93
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 3? · Yes0.4241.000$1.7k+$956.54
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 3? · No0.5781.000$1.1k+$445.90
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4? · Yes0.4830.485$910.74+$4.10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 3? · No0.9231.000$640.67+$48.96
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4? · No0.8670.845$614.96$16.35
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 4? · Yes0.4270.455$504.76+$30.55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 3? · No0.9901.000$401.84+$3.82
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 3? · No0.9651.000$399.80+$13.80
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4? · No0.7300.775$380.78+$21.98
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? · Yes0.5100.565$372.00+$35.81
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 3? · Yes0.4761.000$299.76+$157.04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? · Yes0.4250.465$228.50+$19.49
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 4? · Yes0.3280.270$207.50$44.86
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 3? · No0.9701.000$199.90+$5.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 20:42Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 4?SELL0.3321148675$109.93
08-03 20:38Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4?SELL0.5340825026$162.87
08-03 20:37Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 4?BUY0.94$71.60
08-03 20:36Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4?BUY0.86$67.84
08-03 20:36Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4?BUY0.87$344.82
08-03 20:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4?BUY0.49$72.91
08-03 19:42Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 4?SELL0.4222212917$85.71
08-03 19:41Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.192645845$86.35
08-03 19:41Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4?SELL0.3736101083$227.68
08-03 19:40Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.39$7.80
08-03 19:35Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.4646654145$509.61
08-03 19:29Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.49$2.45
08-03 19:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.361280997$228.45
08-03 19:15Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.35$3.50
08-03 19:14Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.35$1.14
Trader neo7777 · PolyBot