neo7777
0xd25156e222c9b907b128e27c36821fdb41db4d37
- Realised P&L
- $52.2k
- Volume
- $4.14M
- Markets traded
- 6,917
- Open portfolio
- $12.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,917
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.348Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 14?
- +$2.5kat 0.536Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.503Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 25?
- +$1.7kat 0.561Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 17?
- +$1.6kat 0.323Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.7680164882 | $249.67 |
| 09-18 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.74 | $185.00 |
| 09-18 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.39 |
| 09-18 11:26 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9 | $225.00 |
| 09-18 11:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.54 | $82.03 |
| 09-18 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.775335 | $232.60 |
| 09-18 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.5156895 | $103.14 |
| 09-18 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2147594861 | $71.88 |
| 09-18 11:21 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6969135802 | $112.90 |
| 09-18 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.8097938144 | $392.75 |
| 09-18 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 09-18 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.22 | $15.40 |
| 09-18 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.6945454545 | $187.18 |
| 09-18 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.39 | $117.00 |
| 09-18 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.16 |