neo7777
0xd25156e222c9b907b128e27c36821fdb41db4d37
- Realised P&L
- $44.8k
- Volume
- $2.62M
- Markets traded
- 4,324
- Open portfolio
- $12.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,324
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.313Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 29?
- +$1.4kat 0.491Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.262Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 21?
- +$1.2kat 0.262Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.337Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.3321148675 | $109.93 |
| 08-03 20:38 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.5340825026 | $162.87 |
| 08-03 20:37 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $71.60 |
| 08-03 20:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.86 | $67.84 |
| 08-03 20:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.87 | $344.82 |
| 08-03 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.49 | $72.91 |
| 08-03 19:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4222212917 | $85.71 |
| 08-03 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.192645845 | $86.35 |
| 08-03 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.3736101083 | $227.68 |
| 08-03 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-03 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4646654145 | $509.61 |
| 08-03 19:29 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-03 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.361280997 | $228.45 |
| 08-03 19:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 08-03 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.14 |