0xd250565cac802ef4221883f5afd641c77542b0a4
0xd250565cac802ef4221883f5afd641c77542b0a4
- Realised P&L
- $-767.25
- Volume
- $207.0k
- Markets traded
- 916
- Open portfolio
- $3.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded916
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-10-06? · No | 0.790 | 0.805 | $1.11 | +$0.02 |
| United States vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.590 | 0.595 | $1.08 | +$0.01 |
| Will United States win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.585 | $1.04 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.78at 0.223Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$142.36at 0.255Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
- +$116.93at 0.008US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
- +$107.26at 0.737Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
- +$92.42at 0.800US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:28 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.51 |
| 10-06 02:25 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5499998715 | $1.07 |
| 10-06 02:01 | Will CA Banfield win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.43 |
| 10-06 02:00 | Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.78 |
| 10-06 02:00 | Will CA Banfield vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.45 |
| 10-06 00:11 | Will CA Banfield vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.08 |
| 10-06 00:11 | Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.07 |
| 10-06 00:11 | Will CA Banfield win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.2199999665 | $1.05 |
| 10-05 23:54 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5499998715 | $1.07 |
| 10-05 23:53 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.69 |
| 10-05 21:42 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5499998715 | $1.07 |
| 10-05 21:42 | United States vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5899997794 | $1.07 |
| 10-05 21:42 | Will Canada win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7899999058 | $1.09 |
| 10-05 20:31 | Will Italy vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.14 |
| 10-05 20:31 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.25 |