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Traders

lilgato

0xd2494ceb6dad8cf772e550b2bd327c4fbe3210da

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$96.0k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$9.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? · No0.9870.996$1.1k+$10.20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.945$1.0k+$92.99
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · No0.9190.932$1.0k+$13.63
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.7500.800$690.36+$42.89
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8780.925$610.48+$30.80
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.9090.929$543.76+$11.99
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.7060.840$510.06+$80.83
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9900.993$505.56+$1.33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8850.935$441.99+$23.68
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · No0.9370.947$393.01+$4.10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.9230.945$354.38+$8.38
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.8950.921$316.69+$9.23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8310.855$307.80+$8.50
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · No0.8440.815$293.40$10.60
Will United Russia win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.9470.975$263.12+$7.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 12:48Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.976$145.69
09-16 11:30Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.848$152.64
09-15 13:54Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.92$101.20
09-15 13:28Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$66.29
09-15 13:26Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$21.84
09-15 12:59Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$282.00
09-15 12:42Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?SELL0.95$8.60
09-14 17:46Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.991$44.59
09-14 17:45Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.991$178.38
09-14 11:16Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.78$65.51
09-14 11:16Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.22$18.48
09-13 08:32Will United Russia win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?BUY0.946$236.50
09-11 00:26Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.7433333333$22.30
09-08 18:04Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.74$262.69
09-08 17:40Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.65$9.75
Trader lilgato · PolyBot Pro