0xd2468c7a51ce024c67db4b7c79354708c1c8a7ba
0xd2468c7a51ce024c67db4b7c79354708c1c8a7ba
- Realised P&L
- $-220.62
- Volume
- $233.6k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $21.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.39at 0.203Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$5.73at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$5.50at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
- +$4.78at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$4.78at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 18:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 18:57 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-02 18:56 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-02 18:56 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-02 18:56 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-02 18:55 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-02 18:55 | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-02 18:55 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |