PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd2468c7a51ce024c67db4b7c79354708c1c8a7ba

0xd2468c7a51ce024c67db4b7c79354708c1c8a7ba

Realised P&L
$-220.62
Volume
$233.6k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$21.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 18:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 9?BUY0.001$1.00
10-07 18:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?BUY0.001$1.00
10-06 17:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 7?BUY0.001$1.00
10-06 17:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 7?BUY0.001$1.00
10-05 17:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 6?BUY0.001$1.00
10-04 17:44Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 5?BUY0.001$1.00
10-04 17:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 5?BUY0.001$1.00
10-03 17:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?BUY0.001$1.00
10-02 18:57Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$4.00
10-02 18:56Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$4.00
10-02 18:56Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$4.00
10-02 18:56Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$4.00
10-02 18:55Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$4.00
10-02 18:55Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$4.00
10-02 18:55Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$4.00