stonearc
0xd245d5be0b37020971f5a173b77d0b25b822356a
- Realised P&L
- $-38.6k
- Volume
- $2.35M
- Markets traded
- 12,450
- Open portfolio
- $3.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12,450
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.424Bitcoin above $116K on August 18 at 4PM ET?
- +$1.2kat 0.478Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11AM ET
- +$649.67at 0.508Solana Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET
- +$601.20at 0.400XRP Up or Down - August 19, 7AM ET
- +$601.20at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-15 17:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $134.87 |
| 09-30 02:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10PM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $40.00 |
| 09-30 02:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 10PM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $58.11 |
| 09-28 02:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 10PM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $11.78 |
| 09-27 20:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.264 | $6.60 |
| 09-27 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 14:46 | BNB Up or Down - September 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 14:41 | BNB Up or Down - September 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 14:36 | BNB Up or Down - September 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 14:33 | BNB Up or Down - September 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.991 | $6.26 |
| 09-27 14:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 14:31 | BNB Up or Down - September 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |