PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd2428fdbaa7e94685de277a2761ad0afefc5d1ba

Realised P&L
$-46.78
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$29.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.2301.000$21.74+$16.74
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.4500.425$4.72$0.28
Will Karlsruher SC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.235$2.82$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:17Will Karlsruher SC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?BUY0.25$3.00
09-17 01:17Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.449999964$5.00
09-06 13:28Will Iva Jovic win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.0279999946$5.00
09-02 01:20Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.360799597$8.00
09-02 01:18Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.359999987$10.00
09-02 01:14Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
08-29 11:01Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.4299999871$5.00
08-29 10:59UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.3399999633$5.00
08-29 10:12UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.1399999787$5.00
08-26 12:51Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.1649999879$10.00
08-15 13:12Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?SELL0.041$13.22
08-15 11:41Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-15?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
08-13 12:24UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.2399999674$5.00
07-09 00:29Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.229999985$10.10
07-07 07:38Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.0369999926$5.00