0xd2428fdbaa7e94685de277a2761ad0afefc5d1ba
- Realised P&L
- $-46.78
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $29.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.230 | 1.000 | $21.74 | +$16.74 |
| Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.425 | $4.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will Karlsruher SC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.235 | $2.82 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.55at 0.188Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-15?
- +$16.64at 0.381Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
- +$6.46at 0.444Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-29?
- +$2.18at 0.032Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$-0.17at 0.040Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:17 | Will Karlsruher SC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 01:17 | Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 13:28 | Will Iva Jovic win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.0279999946 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 01:20 | Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.360799597 | $8.00 |
| 09-02 01:18 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 01:14 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 11:01 | Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 10:59 | UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 10:12 | UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 12:51 | Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.1649999879 | $10.00 |
| 08-15 13:12 | Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.041 | $13.22 |
| 08-15 11:41 | Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 12:24 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 00:29 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.229999985 | $10.10 |
| 07-07 07:38 | Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.0369999926 | $5.00 |