Roomservice
0xd240c2a4fccabeb9f63163d84f9695817f59562c
- Realised P&L
- $7.0k
- Volume
- $1.72M
- Markets traded
- 3,947
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,947
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.880 | $440.95 | +$60.13 |
| Will it rain in Dallas, TX on September 29? · No | 0.985 | 0.985 | $420.37 | −$0.37 |
| Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 28? · No | 0.978 | 0.991 | $346.96 | +$4.51 |
| Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 28? · No | 0.989 | 0.979 | $274.02 | −$2.94 |
| Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 28? · No | 0.986 | 0.983 | $265.34 | −$0.82 |
| Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 29? · No | 0.990 | 0.990 | $208.79 | +$0.00 |
| Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 29? · No | 0.990 | 0.990 | $208.69 | −$0.11 |
| Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 28? · No | 0.923 | 0.965 | $183.81 | +$8.07 |
| Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September? · No | 0.984 | 1.000 | $100.03 | +$1.55 |
| Will it rain in Chicago, IL on September 28? · No | 0.978 | 0.980 | $68.56 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$349.30at 0.001Will the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or below on November 30?
- +$349.30at 0.001Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or higher on November 30?
- +$301.41at 0.001Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or higher on October 22?
- +$249.50at 0.001Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or higher on November 24?
- +$246.43at 0.196Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 16:41 | Will it rain in Dallas, TX on September 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $225.62 |
| 09-28 16:40 | Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $208.79 |
| 09-28 13:47 | Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.76 | $380.82 |
| 09-28 13:31 | Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 28? | BUY | 0.988 | $69.16 |
| 09-28 12:21 | Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $208.79 |
| 09-28 12:20 | Will it rain in Dallas, TX on September 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.05 |
| 09-28 06:03 | Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 28? | BUY | 0.94 | $65.80 |
| 09-28 05:59 | Will it rain in Chicago, IL on September 28? | BUY | 0.978 | $68.46 |
| 09-28 05:57 | Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 09-28 05:57 | Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 09-28 05:57 | Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 09-28 04:59 | Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 28? | BUY | 0.9125298805 | $109.94 |
| 09-28 04:53 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 28? | BUY | 0.963 | $48.15 |
| 09-28 04:53 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 28? | BUY | 0.9602015171 | $96.20 |
| 09-28 04:25 | Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.20 |