0xd23cea70dfb94f9096ddfd5e2636ddb14072c27d
0xd23cea70dfb94f9096ddfd5e2636ddb14072c27d
- Realised P&L
- $-58.27
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 343
- Open portfolio
- $17.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded343
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Adam Telle be the next confirmed Army Secretary? · No | 0.690 | 0.635 | $12.70 | −$1.10 |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.255 | $5.10 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.45at 0.310Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
- +$2.60at 0.796Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$2.46at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$2.45at 0.510Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$2.45at 0.510Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 10:02 | Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 10-10 05:40 | Modi out by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 10-09 15:56 | Will London have between 45-60mm of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.33 |
| 10-08 20:49 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-08 05:58 | Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $7.59 |
| 10-07 22:36 | Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-07 19:41 | Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-07 14:13 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 10-07 12:56 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $503,000 and $507,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 10-07 07:24 | Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 07:04 | Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 10-06 23:51 | Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 10-06 11:36 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.37 |
| 10-06 11:36 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.8499997025 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:33 | Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.605 | $12.10 |