PolyBot

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Traders

0xd23cea70dfb94f9096ddfd5e2636ddb14072c27d

0xd23cea70dfb94f9096ddfd5e2636ddb14072c27d

Realised P&L
$-58.27
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
343
Open portfolio
$17.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded343
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Adam Telle be the next confirmed Army Secretary? · No0.6900.635$12.70−$1.10
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31? · Yes0.3100.255$5.10−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 10:02Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?SELL0.52$5.20
10-10 05:40Modi out by June 30, 2027?SELL0.83$16.60
10-09 15:56Will London have between 45-60mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.26$3.33
10-08 20:49Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?SELL0.32$6.40
10-08 05:58Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?SELL0.76$7.59
10-07 22:36Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.34$6.80
10-07 19:41Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?SELL0.51$10.20
10-07 14:13Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?SELL0.48$9.60
10-07 12:56Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $503,000 and $507,000 on December 31?SELL0.61$12.20
10-07 07:24Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?SELL0.5$10.00
10-07 07:04Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?SELL0.58$11.60
10-06 23:51Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?SELL0.16$3.20
10-06 11:36Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?SELL0.82$4.37
10-06 11:36Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?BUY0.8499997025$1.00
10-05 21:33Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?SELL0.605$12.10