Tommybet71
0xd23bfcbf446b018559237d07235912251fa32cf5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $48.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $35.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$415.50at 0.196Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
- +$72.00at 0.760US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$60.00at 0.400Israel strikes Syria by August 31?
- +$6.72at 0.330Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 11:28 | Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.42 |
| 05-02 10:32 | Obama arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $34.40 |
| 04-18 11:05 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $49.31 |
| 04-17 14:15 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1189999901 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 10:10 | Israel strikes Iran by October 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 10-04 10:09 | Israel strikes Iran by October 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $99.00 |
| 10-04 10:07 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? | BUY | 0.61 | $244.00 |
| 10-04 10:05 | Israel strikes Iran by October 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.12 |
| 08-03 09:41 | Israel strikes Syria by August 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 05-06 13:42 | Will the next Pope be from Asia? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.04 |
| 05-06 09:41 | New Pope announced by May 31? | BUY | 0.018 | $59.38 |
| 05-06 09:39 | New Pope announced by May 31? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.17 |
| 05-06 09:28 | New Pope before July? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.15 |
| 05-06 09:23 | New Pope announced by May 31? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.86 |
| 05-06 09:10 | Will the next Pope be from Europe? | SELL | 0.35 | $117.57 |