PolyBot

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Traders

0xd238bc6303a72c4c9fb360bc25bdd7402017ad4d

0xd238bc6303a72c4c9fb360bc25bdd7402017ad4d

Realised P&L
$-295.72
Volume
$23.4k
Markets traded
1,413
Open portfolio
$8.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,413
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5) · VfB Stuttgart0.5701.000$1.75+$0.75
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · No0.5400.575$1.06+$0.06
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4200.425$1.01+$0.01
Spread: Guyana (-1.5) · Guyana0.5800.580$1.00+$0.00
Spread: Costa Rica (-1.5) · Nicaragua0.6000.595$0.99−$0.01
Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? · No0.1800.175$0.97−$0.03
Denmark vs. Portugal: Denmark O/U 4.5 Corners · Under0.5700.545$0.96−$0.04
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 1.5 · Under0.3100.295$0.95−$0.05
Ljubljana: Alice Tubello vs Vivian Wolff · Vivian Wolff0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Down0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00
Go Ahead Eagles vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 1.5 · Under0.1710.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.4140.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5220.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 16:40Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-01 16:39Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-01 16:39Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-01 16:36Will Guinea win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.83$1.35
10-01 16:35Spread: Lebanon (-2.5)SELL0.999$1.72
10-01 10:48Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-01 10:43Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo BerrettiniBUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-01 10:41W75 Quinta do Lago: Elena Malygina vs Katie SwanSELL0.972$1.29
10-01 10:40M15 Monastir: Remy Dugardin vs Aziz OuakaaSELL0.999$1.61
10-01 07:34China Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Alina CharaevaSELL0.999$6.88
10-01 06:49Denmark vs. Portugal: Denmark O/U 4.5 CornersBUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-01 06:00Jingshan: Michael Zheng vs Yanki ErelBUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-01 05:58M15 Monastir: Remy Dugardin vs Aziz OuakaaBUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-01 05:56Spread: Guyana (-1.5)BUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-01 05:54China Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Alina CharaevaBUY0.16$1.00