Natalya88
0xd238b795dfb3fad7d214d1ad49bfda374acfee03
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $51.5k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-4.5) · Packers | 0.510 | 0.505 | $1.0k | −$10.09 |
| Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5) · Seattle Storm | 0.487 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.90 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5 · Under | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky · Chicago Sky | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.75 |
| Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 191.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.30 |
| Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics · Dallas Wings | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.67 |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5 · Under | 0.513 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.23 |
| Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire · PortlandFire | 0.251 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.42 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 156.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.23 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5 · Over | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries · Toronto Tempo | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.74 |
| Spread: Georgia (-46.5) · Tennessee State | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.05 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 155.5 · Under | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.43 |
| Spread: James Madison (-5.5) · Liberty | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty · Seattle Storm | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.337Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5
- +$648.14at 0.726Giants vs. Rams
- +$359.48at 0.890Dolphins vs. 49ers
- +$357.76at 0.480Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5
- +$348.00at 0.420Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 15:45 | Panthers vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.56 | $5.04 |
| 09-20 15:45 | Panthers vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.56 | $272.16 |
| 09-20 11:42 | Steelers vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.68 | $12.92 |
| 09-20 11:42 | Steelers vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-18 09:32 | W15 Sao Luis: Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso vs Beatriz Nahmias Melo Rodrigues | BUY | 0.96 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 08:35 | W15 Sao Luis: Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso vs Beatriz Nahmias Melo Rodrigues | BUY | 0.96 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 07:35 | W15 Sao Luis: Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso vs Beatriz Nahmias Melo Rodrigues | BUY | 0.96 | $29.76 |
| 09-10 13:52 | 3Q Spread: Rams (-1.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-04 21:12 | 4Q Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $4.61 |
| 09-04 20:40 | 4Q Spread: Eastern Michigan (-2.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $3.07 |
| 09-04 19:33 | 4Q Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $5.70 |
| 08-22 20:27 | Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.25 | $24.09 |
| 08-19 17:00 | Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $2.88 |
| 08-19 16:59 | Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $2.88 |
| 08-08 01:17 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.47 | $23.25 |