0xd236f0be4c0b4ac2390efe858399e02c065be976
0xd236f0be4c0b4ac2390efe858399e02c065be976
- Realised P&L
- $8.85
- Volume
- $58.06
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $22.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Montana State (-14.5) · Montana State | 0.510 | 0.350 | $12.54 | −$5.73 |
| Spread: Memphis (-20.5) · Memphis | 0.500 | 0.495 | $9.71 | −$0.10 |
| Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech · Virginia Tech | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.64at 0.500Spread: Liberty (-6.5)
- +$8.60at 0.500Penn State vs. Northwestern
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 02:36 | Spread: Montana State (-14.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $18.28 |
| 10-03 01:55 | Penn State vs. Northwestern | SELL | 0.89 | $19.78 |