belyai90
0xd2306fa4d3bc5cf6a08e6a0fb416042b5ceaf600
- Realised P&L
- $-184.06
- Volume
- $61.6k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $0.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$477.07at 0.045Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$63.57at 0.569Will Trump say "Biden" during Monday press conference?
- +$20.84at 0.584Will Trump say "Egg" during Miami address?
- +$20.82at 0.490Will Trump say "Gulf of America" this week? (April 19)
- +$18.47at 0.434Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 09:57 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.13 | $8.95 |
| 09-24 09:56 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.31 | $10.20 |
| 09-23 15:51 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 11:41 | Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 06-06 10:08 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting? | BUY | 0.0848249094 | $4.92 |
| 06-06 10:04 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.038 | $5.99 |
| 05-26 12:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.026 | $3.50 |
| 05-26 11:11 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.038 | $5.70 |
| 05-26 11:09 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.80 |
| 05-15 11:47 | Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $7.92 |
| 05-14 08:14 | Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? | BUY | 0.0199504902 | $2.03 |
| 05-14 07:50 | Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17? | BUY | 0.37 | $4.25 |
| 05-14 07:48 | Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.33 |
| 05-14 07:34 | Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit? | SELL | 0.996 | $18.73 |
| 05-13 12:37 | Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit? | BUY | 0.68 | $12.79 |