satoshi67
0xd223c04fa2b5d1c5350a6a13dae707dd64105580
- Realised P&L
- $-276.01
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 269
- Open portfolio
- $142.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded269
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.00at 0.700Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$29.83at 0.235Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
- +$25.92at 0.268Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$25.25at 0.352Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
- +$23.58at 0.631Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.13 | $0.56 |
| 09-11 14:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 23:05 | Will Russia target Kyiv by September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0735206015 | $7.50 |
| 09-09 23:04 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $68.00 |
| 09-07 20:26 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999284 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 08:10 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999966 | $22.30 |
| 09-07 08:09 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2979999938 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 08:07 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999716 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 19:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 18:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 18:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 18:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $1.14 |
| 09-05 20:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |