PolyBot

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Traders

Ekvelazquez

0xd223177b2f8f47beeae6ddd6081617d6cc368c26

Realised P&L
$324.90
Volume
$25.2k
Markets traded
1,850
Open portfolio
$258.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,850
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10? · Yes0.9851.000$69.99+$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 10? · No0.9881.000$35.13+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on October 10? · No0.9981.000$19.99+$0.03
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? · Yes0.8910.865$15.23−$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 10? · No0.9941.000$15.05+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 10? · No0.9931.000$12.08+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 12? · No0.9910.994$11.94+$0.04
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? · Yes0.9540.985$10.84+$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 10? · No0.9961.000$9.99+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12? · No0.9100.910$9.55+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 11? · No0.9890.992$6.97+$0.02
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? · No0.9400.983$5.89+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 10? · No0.9721.000$5.14+$0.14
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão? · Yes0.9300.975$4.88+$0.23
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas? · No0.9250.969$4.84+$0.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 01:38Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?BUY0.91$5.00
10-10 19:23Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 10?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
10-10 19:05Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 10?BUY0.995$10.00
10-10 19:05Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.996$10.00
10-10 19:03Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.9921347525$20.00
10-10 19:02Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.988999947$10.00
10-10 19:02Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.9899999119$10.00
10-10 19:02Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.9689999475$5.00
10-10 18:59Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.9689999777$1.00
10-10 18:59Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.9689999889$2.00
10-10 18:58Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.9689999777$1.00
10-10 18:58Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.9689999777$1.00
10-10 18:58Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.9689999889$2.00
10-10 18:57Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.9689999889$2.00
10-10 18:57Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.9689999926$3.00