BanditRonald
0xd22253737d721a62351a9c13f65d35ca3f0edfd3
- Realised P&L
- $1.55
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $1.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.78 | −$3.22 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during the May meeting? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.00at 0.250Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?
- +$3.77at 0.570Will Elon say "DOGE" 7+ times during Baier interview on Thursday?
- +$2.78at 0.643Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.19at 0.770Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?
- +$0.88at 0.820Will Notre Dame beat Georgia Tech?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 20:54 | Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0014082365 | $5.00 |
| 03-25 20:06 | Will Kanye have no token before April | BUY | 0.9783925043 | $11.00 |
| 03-25 20:06 | Will Elon say "DOGE" 7+ times during Baier interview on Thursday? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 03-25 20:05 | Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during the May meeting? | BUY | 0.9399999991 | $20.00 |
| 11-02 10:40 | Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend? | BUY | 0.25 | $11.00 |
| 10-25 20:48 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6429998889 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 19:52 | Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 19:52 | Will Alabama beat Tennessee? | BUY | 0.6199999297 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 19:51 | Will Jannik Sinner win the Six Kings Slam? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.00 |
| 10-19 19:51 | Will Notre Dame beat Georgia Tech? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $4.00 |
| 10-19 19:51 | Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.7699999846 | $4.00 |
| 10-19 19:49 | Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $6.67 |