PolyBot

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Traders

Traingman

0xd2178baff3b409cdd9eabfc9e6e4dee000a07561

Realised P&L
$-8.1k
Volume
$878.3k
Markets traded
6,571
Open portfolio
$786.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,571
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13? · Yes0.8860.920$786.78+$28.83
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4? · No0.8030.000$0.00−$152.82
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 13? · No0.9600.000$0.00−$445.47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15? · Yes0.8560.000$0.00−$594.72
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 13? · No0.9390.000$0.00−$856.25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 22? · Yes0.9140.000$0.00−$208.55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 17? · Yes0.8570.000$0.00−$587.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 08:02Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?BUY0.9367789761$330.00
10-13 05:55Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?BUY0.850917974$427.95
10-13 05:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 13?BUY0.978$25.79
10-13 05:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?BUY0.98$44.10
10-13 05:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?BUY0.98$254.95
10-12 07:05Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12?BUY0.9066199901$268.23
10-12 06:27Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12?BUY0.867034525$400.00
10-12 03:15Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.98$91.14
10-12 03:13Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.97$33.69
10-12 03:09Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.96$104.18
10-12 03:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.9483870968$29.40
10-12 02:55Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.95$4.75
10-12 02:55Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.94$4.69
10-12 02:55Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.9581906375$305.00
10-12 02:54Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.93$4.65