PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gcDi

0xd21767b59eacf2d411e624aacc85598acd0b28d2

Realised P&L
$14.29
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
210
Open portfolio
$0.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded210
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? · Yes0.4600.382$0.83−$0.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Down0.6680.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Down0.7060.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.6300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.3140.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8AM ET · Down0.3240.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.4670.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET · Down0.3650.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.4770.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET · Up0.2320.000$0.00−$1.00
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.5280.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Up0.5180.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.3140.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.5880.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 15:17Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 1?SELL0.7$1.67
10-01 14:50Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 1?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-27 17:32Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-18 15:42Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?SELL0.73$5.40
09-15 14:56Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
06-17 11:42Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.77$1.00
05-28 17:00Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.18$0.60
05-28 16:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.63$1.00
05-28 16:38Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.3299997822$1.00
05-28 15:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSELL0.8$1.57
05-28 15:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
05-28 15:36Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.6899999586$1.00
05-28 15:26Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSELL0.57$1.07
05-28 15:15Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.5299998781$1.00
05-28 15:11Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSELL0.88$1.54