0xd21511e5b3d4623206dc3f01fcbc13fb3b21fba6
0xd21511e5b3d4623206dc3f01fcbc13fb3b21fba6
- Realised P&L
- $10.35
- Volume
- $303.67
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $16.06
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$3.83at 0.349Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:26 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:25 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:58 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:47 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:12 | Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.3029999112 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 19:07 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:28 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:26 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:23 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:09 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:42 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:39 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 18:01 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |