0xd20f1b0dbbbdbe752ef469276529d58d1c63426f
0xd20f1b0dbbbdbe752ef469276529d58d1c63426f
- Realised P&L
- $-144.71
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 188
- Open portfolio
- $28.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded188
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.32at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$28.41at 0.196Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 7?
- +$21.94at 0.147Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 7?
- +$11.96at 0.306Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 7?
- +$9.77at 0.160Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.0368402471 | $1.67 |
| 10-08 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2599999946 | $1.91 |
| 10-08 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 8? | SELL | 0.1253621233 | $2.79 |
| 10-08 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.29 |
| 10-08 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.1961312078 | $6.40 |
| 10-08 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.1459593346 | $3.95 |
| 10-08 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.3410714286 | $1.91 |
| 10-08 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2299999879 | $1.90 |
| 10-08 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.17 |
| 10-08 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2435897436 | $1.90 |
| 10-08 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2399999899 | $1.90 |
| 10-08 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.2577508561 | $5.73 |
| 10-08 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2199999977 | $3.81 |
| 10-08 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.4484175926 | $3.85 |
| 10-08 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2826020278 | $1.91 |