curacau
0xd20c0ecc2d71183ee2a75b8e0ba66eea9aa85031
- Realised P&L
- $603.93
- Volume
- $54.9k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $234.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-10.5) · Cowboys | 0.410 | 0.445 | $162.80 | +$12.80 |
| Spread: UTSA (-7.5) · UTSA | 0.450 | 0.405 | $72.09 | −$8.01 |
| Fresno State vs. USC · Fresno State | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.13 |
| M25 Meerbusch: Romain Faucon vs Nikolai Barsukov · Nikolai Barsukov | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.32 |
| Spread: Portland Fire (-1.5) · Portland Fire | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.93 |
| Spread: UNLV (-12.5) · Akron | 0.463 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$109.21 |
| 2Q Spread: James Madison (-4.5) · James Madison | 0.519 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$119.75 |
| Spread: Cardinals (-4.5) · Cardinals | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.25 |
| Spread: Rams (-4.5) · Giants | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.29 |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.75 |
| Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5) · Las Vegas Aces | 0.485 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$606.93 |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5) · Wisconsin | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.69 |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) · Eagles | 0.764 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$575.15 |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Dallas Wings · Toronto Tempo | 0.196 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.41 |
| M25 Guiyang: Sasikumar Mukund vs Sheng Tang · Sasikumar Mukund | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$739.35at 0.550Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 41.5
- +$583.97at 0.487Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5
- +$475.38at 0.126Portland Fire vs. Atlanta Dream
- +$373.81at 0.508Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5
- +$372.49at 0.640Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 14:59 | Spread: Bills (-6.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $5.17 |
| 10-04 14:58 | Spread: Bills (-6.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $5.64 |
| 10-03 15:52 | Alabama vs. Mississippi State | BUY | 0.34 | $7.48 |
| 10-03 15:52 | Alabama vs. Mississippi State | BUY | 0.34 | $7.82 |
| 10-03 12:02 | Vanderbilt vs. Georgia | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 05:26 | Boston College vs. SMU | BUY | 0.08 | $5.60 |
| 10-03 05:26 | Boston College vs. SMU | BUY | 0.08 | $5.60 |
| 09-26 15:00 | Spread: UNLV (-13.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $5.50 |
| 09-26 15:00 | Spread: UNLV (-13.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $5.50 |
| 09-26 14:55 | Spread: UNLV (-13.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $5.64 |
| 09-24 23:20 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $30.69 |
| 09-24 23:19 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-24 23:19 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $6.05 |
| 09-22 10:47 | W15 Belem: sofia omati albieri vs Maria Moraes | BUY | 0.868 | $2.95 |
| 09-22 10:34 | W15 Belem: sofia omati albieri vs Maria Moraes | BUY | 0.868 | $29.51 |