0xD2033fed13Ddc6FbEf740F560BFA58802E53B0A2-1774184408677
0xd2033fed13ddc6fbef740f560bfa58802e53b0a2
- Realised P&L
- $-47.83
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $9.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.028 | $9.82 | −$0.18 |
| Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.48at 0.365Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$16.13at 0.562Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
- +$15.53at 0.537Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$12.62at 0.447Harry Kane: 1+ goals
- +$12.05at 0.499Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 09:43 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 09:31 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0279999999 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 23:28 | Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1399999922 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 18:09 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5499999946 | $20.27 |
| 07-05 18:26 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5299999865 | $11.35 |
| 07-05 18:26 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.55 | $12.00 |
| 07-03 10:17 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6899999995 | $15.00 |
| 07-03 10:16 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0699999766 | $2.69 |
| 07-02 10:58 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5699999866 | $11.88 |
| 07-01 15:58 | England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1299999627 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 15:57 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 06-28 18:04 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.5299999976 | $17.79 |
| 06-21 12:26 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.679999995 | $21.91 |
| 06-20 23:40 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6799999913 | $21.84 |
| 06-18 13:20 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.5299999555 | $11.67 |