PolyBot

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Traders

0xd202e0ba710ad3f8f3f2d6c048c78c401eee4431

0xd202e0ba710ad3f8f3f2d6c048c78c401eee4431

Realised P&L
$0.09
Volume
$72.41
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$6.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No0.6400.983$1.84+$0.64
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.6200.865$1.67+$0.47
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.3700.350$1.14$0.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.6800.550$0.97$0.23
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.2700.100$0.44$0.76
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3700.021$0.07$1.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 22:27Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3699999137$1.20
09-21 14:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.6799999547$1.20
09-21 14:06Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.2699999663$1.20
09-21 05:58Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.6199999587$1.20
09-20 21:39Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5899998869$1.20
09-19 07:46Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999137$1.20
09-17 18:02Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.2$1.20
09-17 05:33Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.64$1.20
09-16 17:32Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?BUY0.6299999685$1.20
09-16 09:30Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.6999998833$1.20
09-16 00:35Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.2299999693$1.20
09-15 15:57Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5499997938$1.20
09-15 15:51Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16?BUY0.64$1.20
09-15 07:39SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.2699999663$1.20
09-14 22:19Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.719999856$1.20