0xd202e0ba710ad3f8f3f2d6c048c78c401eee4431
0xd202e0ba710ad3f8f3f2d6c048c78c401eee4431
- Realised P&L
- $0.09
- Volume
- $72.41
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $6.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.640 | 0.983 | $1.84 | +$0.64 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.865 | $1.67 | +$0.47 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.350 | $1.14 | −$0.06 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.550 | $0.97 | −$0.23 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.100 | $0.44 | −$0.76 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.021 | $0.07 | −$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.98at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$1.93at 0.389Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.77at 0.610US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.69at 0.639Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?
- +$0.66at 0.649Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:27 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999137 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 14:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 14:06 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999663 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 05:58 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $1.20 |
| 09-20 21:39 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998869 | $1.20 |
| 09-19 07:46 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999137 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 18:02 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 05:33 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 17:32 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 09:30 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6999998833 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 00:35 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2299999693 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 15:57 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5499997938 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 15:51 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 07:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.2699999663 | $1.20 |
| 09-14 22:19 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.20 |