0xD201Ae25a652c7781610BaA17EBEb3462F479b17-1767302573458
0xd201ae25a652c7781610baa17ebeb3462f479b17
- Realised P&L
- $-71.29
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 579
- Open portfolio
- $1.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded579
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.50 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.38at 0.574Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
- +$19.25at 0.571Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
- +$17.31at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$16.68at 0.592Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$15.41at 0.563Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.21 |
| 09-17 18:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | SELL | 0.8682508251 | $5.26 |
| 09-17 18:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.57 | $3.45 |
| 09-17 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.67 |
| 09-17 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3917491749 | $2.37 |
| 09-17 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $4.91 |
| 09-17 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $1.03 |
| 09-17 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $4.30 |
| 09-17 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $1.58 |
| 09-17 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $3.64 |
| 09-17 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $2.42 |
| 09-17 18:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.88 |
| 09-17 18:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $2.18 |
| 09-17 18:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $3.27 |
| 09-17 18:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | SELL | 0.4947524752 | $3.00 |