scythe909
0xd1fce0040235611bbbca22b0b95a6f4128a637a7
- Realised P&L
- $0.34
- Volume
- $156.97
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Big Ten conference win the 2026-27 College Football Playoff National Championship? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.185 | $0.93 | −$0.53 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.018 | $0.17 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.20at 0.335S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?
- +$0.40at 0.320S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?
- +$0.30at 0.320S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?
- +$0.30at 0.620Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
- +$0.15at 0.143Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?