Vollacill
0xd1efe8a52f53d71c8afdaada0dc708436dabf23c
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $510.1k
- Markets traded
- 204
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded204
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.293Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23?
- +$885.69at 0.112Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$764.98at 0.040Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?
- +$657.59at 0.100Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$621.27at 0.150Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 02:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 04-20 18:32 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 02-24 23:57 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $14.70 |
| 02-24 23:51 | US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 01-20 20:43 | Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 01-20 20:42 | Will Bologna win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | SELL | 0.005 | $4.25 |
| 12-02 00:09 | Will Bologna win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | BUY | 0.024 | $8.40 |
| 11-20 16:22 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1 | $40.00 |
| 11-04 21:37 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 11-04 21:34 | Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-04? | BUY | 0.88 | $13.20 |
| 11-04 20:15 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 11-04 20:09 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.45 |
| 11-04 18:34 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04? | BUY | 0.56 | $8.40 |
| 10-22 21:30 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.6779999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 17:40 | Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |