p126.
0xd1ecce6afe1aa2b112abe0b4db682ce8af3f6ec7
- Realised P&L
- $-8.3k
- Volume
- $432.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $70.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.035 | $37.66 | −$30.97 |
| Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.045 | $22.03 | −$19.23 |
| Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.034 | $10.74 | −$19.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-689.10at 0.110Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?
- +$-1.1kat 0.027Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?
- +$-1.5kat 0.076Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?
- +$-5.0kat 0.092Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 13:59 | Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0628766613 | $68.63 |
| 10-15 13:58 | Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0935777211 | $30.00 |
| 10-15 13:58 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1108695737 | $20.00 |
| 10-15 13:56 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $21.26 |
| 09-21 21:28 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.051766477 | $337.35 |
| 09-21 21:28 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.0609 | $121.80 |
| 09-21 21:27 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.061087455 | $122.17 |
| 09-21 21:27 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.07426567 | $148.53 |
| 09-21 18:52 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.058 | $11.60 |
| 09-21 18:43 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.0524433333 | $15.73 |
| 09-21 18:41 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.022429125 | $89.72 |
| 09-21 18:40 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.073 | $2.19 |
| 09-21 18:40 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.062935 | $25.17 |
| 09-21 18:39 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.0379 | $3.79 |
| 09-21 18:39 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.051375 | $5.14 |