PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

alexhamilton

0xd1e8ad4614a160553cd51122e6a1110b7c0b27b1

Realised P&L
$-10.3k
Volume
$224.2k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$35.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1870.145$16.9k$4.9k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1880.135$10.9k$4.3k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5730.555$4.9k$161.30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1850.125$1.2k$551.04
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5500.555$677.25+$6.10
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5530.525$369.38$19.50
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1460.092$234.88$137.68
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3800.330$161.70$24.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2600.247$74.25$3.75
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3400.325$70.20$3.24
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay · Yes0.1600.095$42.18$28.86
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1500.075$37.50$37.50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2800.185$37.00$19.00
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · Yes0.1500.065$32.50$42.50
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$23.46$1.80

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 08:35Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.16$56.53
07-09 07:332026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.14$7.54
07-03 13:02Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.139$6.95
07-03 12:07Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.138$31.94
06-25 08:43Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.035$8.75
06-25 07:03Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.1553655531$100.00
06-24 12:552026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.19$1.1k
06-23 05:22Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.19$659.68
06-20 16:08Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2$405.20
06-20 16:07Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2$358.20
06-20 15:52Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.19$336.87
06-20 07:08Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2$356.60
06-20 05:24Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.033$8.25
06-20 05:19Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.19$452.20
06-19 15:122026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.19$79.61