0xd1Daa960bB15d42b4E02273AE285921353Aa522b-1788580680623
0xd1daa960bb15d42b4e02273ae285921353aa522b
- Realised P&L
- $-442.06
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.795 | 0.910 | $800.92 | +$100.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.766 | 0.875 | $569.69 | +$70.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.02at 0.965Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?
- +$13.88at 0.978Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 16?
- +$12.12at 0.979Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 15?
- +$12.10at 0.983Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14?
- +$10.08at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7689999934 | $31.20 |
| 09-20 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7661116873 | $468.00 |
| 09-20 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7955088453 | $700.15 |
| 09-16 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9690042486 | $594.00 |
| 09-16 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8750213899 | $92.04 |
| 09-16 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9893374288 | $578.16 |
| 09-16 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9444567267 | $36.47 |
| 09-16 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9474930912 | $38.40 |
| 09-16 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9384949354 | $220.80 |
| 09-16 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9181606594 | $23.25 |
| 09-15 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9684175743 | $301.83 |
| 09-15 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9800999901 | $14.85 |
| 09-15 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9800445374 | $150.47 |
| 09-15 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9399999973 | $126.35 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9649220605 | $245.98 |