PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd1Daa960bB15d42b4E02273AE285921353Aa522b-1788580680623

0xd1daa960bb15d42b4e02273ae285921353aa522b

Realised P&L
$-442.06
Volume
$25.5k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? · Yes0.7950.910$800.92+$100.77
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.7660.875$569.69+$70.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 09:11Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.7689999934$31.20
09-20 09:11Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.7661116873$468.00
09-20 08:49Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.7955088453$700.15
09-16 05:29Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 16?BUY0.9690042486$594.00
09-16 05:27Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 16?BUY0.8750213899$92.04
09-16 05:23Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 16?BUY0.9893374288$578.16
09-16 04:37Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 16?BUY0.9444567267$36.47
09-16 04:35Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 16?BUY0.9474930912$38.40
09-16 04:34Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 16?BUY0.9384949354$220.80
09-16 04:33Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 16?BUY0.9181606594$23.25
09-15 04:03Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 15?BUY0.9684175743$301.83
09-15 03:43Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 15?BUY0.9800999901$14.85
09-15 03:37Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 15?BUY0.9800445374$150.47
09-15 03:32Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 15?BUY0.9399999973$126.35
09-15 03:30Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 15?BUY0.9649220605$245.98