lezzgoo
0xd1d4fbcaea4f64716dcc3928b8be529b2b890fed
- Realised P&L
- $297.22
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $428.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? · Yes | 0.742 | 0.794 | $428.30 | +$28.30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET · Down | 0.211 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET · Down | 0.211 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.97at 0.589Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$102.03at 0.041Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
- +$98.30at 0.757Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
- +$21.78at 0.887Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$12.04at 0.513Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:45 | OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | BUY | 0.742004103 | $400.00 |
| 09-16 11:44 | Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | SELL | 0.9082800828 | $605.51 |
| 06-07 14:51 | Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8827663239 | $170.00 |
| 05-25 21:11 | Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $500.00 |
| 04-01 00:23 | Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | SELL | 0.999 | $424.00 |
| 03-29 13:27 | Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.5803017642 | $242.59 |
| 02-27 21:22 | Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31? | SELL | 0.0838164718 | $202.03 |
| 02-27 21:11 | Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31? | BUY | 0.041486398 | $100.00 |
| 02-07 20:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $4.87 |
| 02-07 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $76.06 |
| 02-07 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $37.05 |
| 02-07 20:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5047570857 | $96.88 |
| 02-07 20:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $9.86 |
| 02-07 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $9.86 |
| 02-07 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5917159763 | $97.08 |