Well-Worn-Poignance-Tofu
0xd1c9c38617a280a98bfe2420fce037f36a99eb59
- Realised P&L
- $9.10
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $103.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.535 | $103.13 | −$2.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.45at 0.169Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$9.47at 0.877Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
- +$-87.83at 0.657Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:42 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? | BUY | 0.5499999982 | $106.02 |
| 10-25 12:02 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.6199999959 | $36.65 |
| 10-17 19:40 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.6599999962 | $49.22 |
| 10-17 19:38 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | SELL | 0.9288499719 | $198.37 |
| 10-12 17:38 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.8682805769 | $185.43 |
| 10-10 12:57 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.325 | $192.22 |
| 09-10 13:41 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1639999999 | $97.00 |