fgv65i8grfh34
0xd1bde776e651872a6282814577bb94766c22f49f
- Realised P&L
- $267.46
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $1.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $1.15 | −$3.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$274.50at 0.550Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 4?
- +$0.26at 0.980Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 22?
- +$0.21at 0.981Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 23?
- +$0.20at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?
- +$0.15at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 06:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $13.50 |
| 07-29 06:26 | Will XRP reach $1.20 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.40 |
| 07-24 07:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.50 |
| 07-24 07:08 | Will XRP reach $1.30 on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.80 |
| 07-23 06:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $12.50 |
| 07-23 06:49 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 23? | BUY | 0.9989999846 | $30.50 |
| 07-20 06:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.90 |
| 07-20 06:16 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.20 |
| 07-17 07:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.50 |
| 07-17 07:48 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.40 |
| 07-13 07:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $12.90 |
| 07-13 07:52 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.70 |
| 07-10 07:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on July 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.40 |
| 07-10 07:42 | Will XRP reach $1.30 on July 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.50 |
| 07-09 07:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.50 |