wdda
0xd1b9a9f390ef9e522b002ea9d1aaca775eab2311
- Realised P&L
- $5.73
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $25.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $9.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.999 | 0.994 | $9.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.195 | $5.26 | −$0.68 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.16 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.16 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on March 26? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.15at 0.192Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?
- +$1.20at 0.520Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?
- +$0.64at 0.959Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
- +$0.42at 0.998Will Cameron Young win The 2025 Masters?
- +$0.40at 0.998Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in March 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 09:34 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 09:34 | Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 09:24 | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.94 |
| 09-06 04:28 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9959999447 | $13.40 |
| 09-06 04:26 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1839999471 | $2.31 |
| 08-07 11:20 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $15.70 |
| 07-08 09:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.70 |
| 06-15 02:53 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $81.60 |
| 06-15 02:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.16 |
| 06-07 08:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.90 |
| 05-30 02:28 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.9979999937 | $83.70 |
| 05-25 08:57 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.50 |
| 05-21 02:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.50 |
| 05-21 02:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.16 |
| 05-14 07:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $85.80 |