PolyBot

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Traders

Machine25

0xd1b2b3d9fd6e5410d23a1a656eadab7411c1c5d3

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$24.2k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$69.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5600.560$44.80+$0.00
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.4800.470$24.91−$0.53
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31? · Yes0.8800.000$0.00−$2.08
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00−$156.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 09:17Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?BUY0.48$25.44
10-30 09:14Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.89$17.80
10-26 04:08Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?BUY0.5$10.00
10-10 12:47Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?SELL0.21$3.15
08-26 13:45Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.74$7.40
08-26 13:43Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.86$8.60
08-26 13:43Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9879999992$10.00
12-25 15:13Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?BUY0.91$23.41
12-25 15:13Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?SELL0.1$23.41
12-20 21:03Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?BUY0.31$44.73
12-20 20:46Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?BUY0.3$26.95
12-20 20:46Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?SELL0.2161210276$71.68
12-20 09:34Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?SELL0.1651545662$130.57
12-20 08:39Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?BUY0.8799999831$2.08
12-20 08:39Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionSELL0.986$2.08