PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

o-1j8y54

0xd1af9a097714be3d0d0e2c826fe9a18def28701e

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$3.15M
Markets traded
249
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded249
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.004$3.6k$2.3k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2740.541$500.76+$247.00
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.4910.387$393.54$106.45
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0350.012$132.11$252.14
FC Bayern München leading at halftime? · Yes0.7700.765$99.45$0.65
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0150.004$13.04$41.72
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0110.002$11.52$71.71
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-09-19? · No0.7700.765$7.65$0.05
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0100.002$1.50$8.50
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30? · Yes0.1560.000$0.00$109.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$80.00
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$1.2k
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$90.55
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · Carlos Alcaraz0.7800.000$0.00$187.20
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$1.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:10Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.77$7.70
09-17 19:06FC Bayern München leading at halftime?BUY0.77$100.10
09-17 18:58Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-17?SELL0.999$176.82
09-17 14:21Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.4819159335$100.00
09-17 14:21Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.4805068209$100.00
09-17 14:21Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.4970239301$100.00
09-17 14:20Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.4969999987$100.00
09-17 14:20Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.498999999$50.00
09-17 14:20Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.5$50.00
09-17 13:17Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.0177861321$88.44
09-17 12:33Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.0334355851$4.53
09-17 09:48Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.59$25.37
09-17 09:46Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.85$150.45
09-16 06:41FC Barcelona leading at halftime?BUY0.78$156.00
09-15 22:19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$600.00