0xd1A71a19cF70e1f42e5FD1e250CB393006D465d9-1780851446977
0xd1a71a19cf70e1f42e5fd1e250cb393006d465d9
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $35.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $133.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No | 0.278 | 0.281 | $80.72 | +$0.72 |
| Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.035 | $52.36 | −$74.57 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$685.56 |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance · Croatia | 0.578 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance · Austria | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.12at 0.437Portugal vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?
- +$-98.22at 0.309Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-225.53at 0.059Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-372.11at 0.070Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 05:51 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.048828125 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 23:32 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.0807262612 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 23:00 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.1066395978 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 22:03 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.1411804715 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 21:48 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.1969999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 21:45 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.152 | $1.95 |
| 09-22 21:44 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.2779999992 | $80.00 |
| 09-22 21:42 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.125 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 21:41 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.1209999987 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 21:40 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.1219999987 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 21:40 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.1089108909 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 21:40 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.1072449946 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 21:39 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.1094524085 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 21:39 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.096977473 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 21:37 | Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.0433555082 | $10.00 |