PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd1A71a19cF70e1f42e5FD1e250CB393006D465d9-1780851446977

0xd1a71a19cf70e1f42e5fd1e250cb393006d465d9

Realised P&L
$-4.3k
Volume
$35.6k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$133.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No0.2780.281$80.72+$0.72
Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0860.035$52.36$74.57
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1730.000$0.00$685.56
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance · Croatia0.5780.000$0.00$46.00
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00$2.3k
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$10.00
Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$15.00
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$150.00
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance · Austria0.1400.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 05:51Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.048828125$5.00
09-22 23:32Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.0807262612$5.00
09-22 23:00Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.1066395978$10.00
09-22 22:03Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.1411804715$5.00
09-22 21:48Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.1969999974$10.00
09-22 21:45Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.152$1.95
09-22 21:44Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.2779999992$80.00
09-22 21:42Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.125$10.00
09-22 21:41Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.1209999987$10.00
09-22 21:40Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.1219999987$10.00
09-22 21:40Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.1089108909$10.00
09-22 21:40Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.1072449946$10.00
09-22 21:39Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.1094524085$10.00
09-22 21:39Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.096977473$10.00
09-22 21:37Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.0433555082$10.00