beltondylasliew
0xd1a686866017fd44a60536ba9001e88219b5dd66
- Realised P&L
- $-400.88
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $37.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.065 | $31.85 | −$262.15 |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.482 | 0.055 | $6.09 | −$47.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.73at 0.940No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
- +$5.64at 0.470Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$2.22at 0.900Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$1.70at 0.740Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
- +$1.44at 0.847Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 07:13 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.71 |
| 07-08 07:12 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 06-10 12:01 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4399999396 | $2.04 |
| 03-16 10:57 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.786547641 | $349.60 |
| 03-16 10:56 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.393 | $2.14 |
| 01-10 12:32 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.9719999991 | $432.03 |
| 01-10 12:32 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.998 | $432.03 |
| 01-10 12:30 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.999 | $432.47 |
| 01-10 12:29 | Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.998 | $432.47 |
| 01-10 12:29 | Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.999 | $432.91 |
| 01-10 12:28 | Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.998 | $432.90 |
| 01-10 12:27 | Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.999 | $433.34 |
| 01-10 12:27 | Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.998 | $433.34 |
| 01-10 12:26 | Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.999 | $433.78 |
| 01-10 12:26 | Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.998 | $433.78 |