Grant1232
0xd1a57c0dc299402d83237e960978501bf0c97f1a
- Realised P&L
- $-18.48
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $48.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.24at 0.241Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$62.50at 0.197Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$29.71at 0.505Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$25.22at 0.377Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$23.48at 0.460Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 15:02 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.1047419366 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 15:02 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 15:00 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 15:00 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 15:00 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 13:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:59 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:57 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 13:56 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 04:18 | Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.005319882 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 01:03 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY | 0.0879999226 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 01:02 | Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999338 | $2.50 |
| 07-07 01:02 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.1099999644 | $2.50 |
| 06-24 00:29 | Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? | BUY | 0.9399999662 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |