JeremyEllis11
0xd1a3c6e594287d1280c05291e74e7d92bfd84f47
- Realised P&L
- $-161.24
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 329
- Open portfolio
- $31.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded329
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.460 | 1.000 | $10.86 | +$5.86 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) · New York Yankees | 0.380 | 0.685 | $9.01 | +$4.01 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) · San Diego Padres | 0.450 | 0.440 | $6.84 | −$0.16 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.290 | $4.32 | −$2.68 |
| Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.420 | 0.026 | $0.37 | −$5.63 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.380 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$6.99 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.99 |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.420 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) · Atlanta Braves | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) · San Diego Padres | 0.446 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.83at 0.088Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines
- +$30.71at 0.140Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats
- +$24.41at 0.170La Salle Explorers vs. Rhode Island Rams
- +$15.64at 0.390USC Trojans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers
- +$13.26at 0.430Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Oregon Ducks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:08 | Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) | BUY | 0.419999979 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 16:06 | Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 16:06 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 16:05 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4499999871 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 16:05 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 16:04 | Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 16:02 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.419999979 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 16:01 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 16:01 | Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.3599999897 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 16:00 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.4699999691 | $7.00 |
| 09-14 16:25 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 16:25 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 16:24 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4462809733 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 16:22 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 16:21 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |