0xD19Edb2b22593a51743D3EbFd7481C3e092b6184-1764112534691
0xd19edb2b22593a51743d3ebfd7481c3e092b6184
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $24.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $361.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No | 0.287 | 0.038 | $208.88 | −$1.4k |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.109 | $138.43 | −$39.37 |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.005 | $5.75 | −$166.04 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.001 | $5.19 | −$338.44 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.001 | $1.80 | −$168.13 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.001 | $1.37 | −$690.09 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-13 23:16 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.23 | $84.21 |
| 01-13 23:14 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.14 | $29.48 |
| 12-11 20:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.14 |
| 12-09 15:00 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.049 | $123.38 |
| 12-06 17:48 | Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.1478846372 | $39.15 |
| 12-06 17:47 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.025 | $12.15 |
| 12-02 15:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 11-26 14:16 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 11-26 12:53 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.048 | $7.09 |
| 11-26 00:03 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.043 | $18.58 |