PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ma762nazemle

0xd19920c1a85691425757b3575752c866e90d37a6

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$131.5k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$667.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0230.051$516.39+$282.37
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6700.755$151.00+$17.00
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first? · 110k0.3070.000$0.00$392.79
Solana all time high before 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$196.00
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15? · No0.1700.000$0.00$75.48
Macron out by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$27.87
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on October 18? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$3.98
ECB rate hike in 2026? · No0.4300.000$0.00$399.50
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? · 150k0.3700.000$0.00$370.00
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$111.99
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$72.63
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$9.10
No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$100.75
Will Noboa win outright in 1st round of Ecuador Election? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$32.63
Pump.fun all time high by December 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$50.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 18:55Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6125$183.75
06-19 08:18Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.021$63.74
06-19 08:14Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.021$185.60
06-19 08:12France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5BUY0.83$24.07
06-19 08:06Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.117$175.50
05-13 07:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY0.45$90.00
04-24 09:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?BUY0.87$198.02
04-22 07:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?BUY0.65$268.27
04-08 07:45Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?BUY0.82$89.74
03-25 08:44Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?SELL0.002$1.36
03-20 14:54French election called by June 30, 2026?SELL0.1$14.80
03-17 20:47Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.72$200.16
03-15 20:42Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?SELL0.2971067779$50.59
03-13 14:23Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSELL0.97$97.00
03-13 14:15ECB rate hike in 2026?BUY0.498374717$264.14