ma762nazemle
0xd19920c1a85691425757b3575752c866e90d37a6
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $131.5k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $667.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.00at 0.510Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$238.76at 0.79026-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?
- +$196.00at 0.680Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
- +$178.51at 0.592Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
- +$174.00at 0.340Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 18:55 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6125 | $183.75 |
| 06-19 08:18 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.021 | $63.74 |
| 06-19 08:14 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.021 | $185.60 |
| 06-19 08:12 | France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.83 | $24.07 |
| 06-19 08:06 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.117 | $175.50 |
| 05-13 07:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY | 0.45 | $90.00 |
| 04-24 09:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | BUY | 0.87 | $198.02 |
| 04-22 07:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April? | BUY | 0.65 | $268.27 |
| 04-08 07:45 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | BUY | 0.82 | $89.74 |
| 03-25 08:44 | Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.36 |
| 03-20 14:54 | French election called by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $14.80 |
| 03-17 20:47 | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.72 | $200.16 |
| 03-15 20:42 | Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | SELL | 0.2971067779 | $50.59 |
| 03-13 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 03-13 14:15 | ECB rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.498374717 | $264.14 |