0xd194f8cb36b7798215b1382feb8839d29802c51f
0xd194f8cb36b7798215b1382feb8839d29802c51f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $225.2k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $46.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Henan FC win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.345 | $46.28 | −$8.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$537.42at 0.274Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
- +$440.70at 0.482Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
- +$421.10at 0.332Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$392.02at 0.289Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$358.39at 0.527Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 10:00 | Will Henan FC win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $55.00 |
| 09-26 07:16 | England vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.3699999976 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 07:16 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.2899999985 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 16:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $45.83 |
| 09-15 09:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 09:57 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.44 | $55.00 |
| 09-11 10:33 | Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 10:33 | Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 08:43 | Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.4799999969 | $55.00 |
| 08-29 10:26 | Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 07:19 | Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 08-28 07:19 | Exact Score: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC 2 - 2 Shanghai Haigang FC? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 08-28 07:18 | Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.4599999264 | $3.00 |
| 08-23 11:41 | Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.2999999967 | $55.00 |
| 08-22 06:23 | Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.4299999976 | $40.00 |