Macaleandros
0xd188725fd6fc6b4b951f85782822c6435999c773
- Realised P&L
- $13.83
- Volume
- $214.9k
- Markets traded
- 822
- Open portfolio
- $255.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded822
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? · Up | 0.985 | 1.000 | $159.92 | +$2.38 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 25? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $89.50 | +$0.41 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 25? · No | 0.994 | 0.997 | $5.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will The Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 12? · Yes | 0.993 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$198.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 12? · No | 0.996 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$268.81 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 26? · Up | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$186.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 22? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$631.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 16? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.68at 0.802S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 27?
- +$106.45at 0.786WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on August 13?
- +$55.90at 0.919S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 29?
- +$46.54at 0.767WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 30?
- +$35.35at 0.912S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 21:15 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 25? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 09-25 19:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $89.10 |
| 09-25 19:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.985 | $59.10 |
| 09-25 19:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.9843911 | $98.44 |
| 09-25 17:35 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-23 20:01 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 23? | BUY | 0.98995 | $197.99 |
| 09-23 20:01 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 23? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 09-23 20:00 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-23 20:00 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $299.70 |
| 09-23 19:54 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 23? | BUY | 0.99 | $39.60 |
| 09-23 19:31 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-21 17:38 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-18 20:40 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $54.45 |
| 09-18 20:35 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $178.20 |
| 09-18 20:35 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $176.43 |