addeg
0xd1863a011a29f39bb47b53895cab936b7f7bed6e
- Realised P&L
- $526.66
- Volume
- $49.5k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $799.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.955 | $620.75 | +$9.75 |
| Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 · No | 0.658 | 0.650 | $178.40 | −$2.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$435.00at 0.130Will B8 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$365.00at 0.500Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
- +$354.81at 0.682Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud
- +$304.66at 0.425LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
- +$296.38at 0.270Will The MongolZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 18:52 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.94 | $611.00 |
| 08-03 18:30 | Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 | BUY | 0.6583800918 | $180.70 |
| 07-28 18:01 | ITF Sao Paulo: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Jose Pereira | BUY | 0.52 | $301.60 |
| 07-25 10:48 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.94 | $24.45 |
| 07-25 10:04 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | SELL | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 07-25 09:57 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.46 | $92.00 |
| 07-19 21:58 | Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9029166667 | $270.88 |
| 07-19 21:54 | Will Pau Cubarsí score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9762701704 | $81.92 |
| 07-19 21:53 | Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.966 | $12.78 |
| 07-19 21:52 | Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.961 | $144.15 |
| 07-19 21:02 | Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.8663636364 | $66.71 |
| 07-19 20:55 | Mikel Merino: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.775675 | $15.51 |
| 07-19 20:54 | Mikel Merino: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.7495785063 | $30.41 |
| 07-19 20:35 | Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.75 | $27.00 |
| 07-19 20:32 | Lionel Messi: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.79077655 | $25.76 |